PSG vs Aston Villa Prediction: UEFA Super Cup 2026 Odds, Tips,Team News, Predicted Lineups
Paris Saint-Germain, the Champions League holders, face Europa League winners Aston Villa in the UEFA Super Cup at the Red Bull Arena in Salzburg on Wednesday 12 August 2026 (20:00 BST).
This is a rematch of their chaotic 2024-25 Champions League quarter-final, which PSG edged on aggregate. Villa arrive as underdogs, but Unai Emery has a strong record in one-off European finals, and both squads have undergone significant summer changes.
PSG vs Aston Villa UEFA Super Cup Odds
PSG regulation win: ~56% (approx. 1.67–1.70)
Draw: ~24%
Aston Villa regulation win: ~28%
Over 1.5 goals: ~74%
Over 2.5 goals: ~50%
Both teams to score (BTTS Yes): ~1.91
Expert Picks and Analysis
The favourite
PSG, under Luis Enrique, are clear favourites. They possess a potent attack led by players such as Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, even while managing a handful of early-season fitness doubts across the squad.
The underdog angle
Unai Emery’s Aston Villa arrive as Europa League winners and remain capable of scoring. This makes a PSG win combined with both teams scoring an attractive option that offers solid value.
Best pick
PSG to win and both teams to score (BTTS – Yes). Alternatively, Over 2.5 total goals is worth considering if you expect a more open Super Cup contest.
Team news and predicted line-ups
Paris Saint-Germain
No fresh injuries, but several World Cup players (Fabián Ruiz, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi, Nuno Mendes and Lucas Beraldo) returned late and face questions over match sharpness. The sale of Gonçalo Ramos leaves no recognised centre-forward, so the attack will rely on movement and interchanging roles.
Predicted XI (4-3-3)
Lucas Chevalier; Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes; João Neves, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz; Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Ousmane Dembélé, Désiré Doué.
Aston Villa
Amadou Onana is out long-term with a ruptured ACL sustained at the World Cup (expected nine-month absence). Boubacar Kamara is recovering from a knee ligament injury and is unlikely to be fully match-ready. The departures of Morgan Rogers and Youri Tielemans mean new arrivals such as Johan Manzambi and João Gomes are likely to feature prominently. Ollie Watkins is expected to lead the line; Alejandro Garnacho offers a direct threat on the left.
Predicted XI (4-2-3-1)
Emiliano MartÃnez; Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen; João Gomes, Boubacar Kamara; Alejandro Garnacho, Emi BuendÃa, John McGinn; Ollie Watkins.
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