Spain Named Early Favorite to Win 2026 World Cup Ahead of Argentina and France

Despite being the finalists of the 2022 World Cup, neither Argentina nor France are the top favorites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to Polymarket.The cryptocurrency-based prediction market has released its latest probabilities following the confirmation of all 48 qualified teams.

Current Top Favorites to Win the 2026 World Cup

(as of April 2026)

Spain – 16% (Clear favorites)  

England – 12–13%  

France – 12%  

Argentina (Reigning champions) – 10%  

Brazil – 9%  

Portugal – 7%

Spain, led by young superstar Lamine Yamal, has overtaken the 2022 finalists to become the early frontrunner to lift the trophy on July 19, 2026, at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey.


Host Nations Odds

Among the three co-hosts:United States – 1.6–1.7%  

Mexico – 1.1%

The 2026 World Cup will be held across the United States, Mexico, and Canada, beginning on June 11 and ending with the final on July 19. 



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