Mexico vs England Odds, Early Predictionsm Picks Expert Picks for World Cup Round of 16
Mexico and England will face off in a blockbuster 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 match on Sunday, July 5 at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City. England enter as slight favorites, but Mexico’s home advantage at altitude makes this a highly unpredictable clash.
Mexico vs England Odds (as of July 1, 2026)
(via major sportsbooks):
Match Winner: England -150 to -165 | Mexico +120 to +135 | Draw +250
To Advance: England -130 to -145 | Mexico +105 to +120
Mexico vs England Early Predictions & Expert Picks
BetMGM:
England to shut out Mexico
Experts note England’s superior quality (ranked 4th in ELO) compared to Mexico’s previous opponents. Mexico have rarely been underdogs under Javier Aguirre but historically struggle against top-tier nations.
ESPN FC & The Athletic:
England have the edge but expect a tight game
Many experts highlight England’s individual quality (Kane, Bellingham) while warning that the altitude and passionate crowd at the Azteca could favor Mexico.
FOX Sports:
Mexico 1-2 England (AET)
FOX analysts lean toward England advancing but expect Mexico to make it extremely difficult.
CBS Sports:
Both teams to score + England comeback win
Analysts expect Mexico to score at the Azteca, but England could mount another late comeback similar to their Round of 32 match against DR Congo.
Kalshi Prediction Market:
England have a 54% chance to advance.
Key Factors
Mexico come into the match with strong home form and a first knockout win since 1986. England, meanwhile, have not finished higher than fourth at a World Cup since their 1966 triumph and showed vulnerability in the Round of 32.
When is Mexico vs England Round of 16?
Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
Kick-off Time: 8:00 PM ET (Mexico City: 6:00 PM local)
How to Watch Mexico vs England
Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
TV: FOX (English), Telemundo (Spanish)
Streaming: Fubo, Peacock
This Round of 16 matchup promises high drama as two football-mad nations with high expectations collide in front of a passionate home crowd.
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